The Seattle Storm are one of the top defensive teams in the league when playing at home, boasting a 92.74 defensive rating and allowing just 74.5 points per game. The Storm match up exceptionally well against the Liberty, holding them to just 74 points in their only previous meeting this season. Everything the Liberty excel at, the Storm have shown they can defend effectively, particularly on their home court.

When playing in Seattle, opponents are 11-5 to their team total under, while the Liberty are 9-7 to their team total under on the road. Additionally, when the Storm are playing at least their second consecutive home game, opponents are 8-2 to their team total under. The Liberty have also gone 5-2 to their team total under since the Olympic break, largely due to their turnover issues, ranking 10th in the league in turnover rate since the break.

I’m taking the Liberty team total under, okay down to 81.