The Aces have struggled to get over their team total in their last ten games, and I expect that trend to continue against an Atlanta Dream defense that has been solid since the Olympic break. The Dream rank 5th in defensive rating, allowing just 77.4 points per game—4th best in the league.

For the season, betting the Aces team total under has been profitable, as they are 22-8 to the under, including 12-4 as home favorites. In games where the Dream are in the underdog role, their opponents are 14-7 to their team total under, showcasing their ability to clamp down defensively.

I anticipate the Aces will continue to struggle offensively in this matchup, regardless of the outcome. I'm taking the Aces team total under, good down to 86.