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(601) Connecticut Sun at (602) Indiana Fever  (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 2%

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 163.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Aug 28, 2024 7:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

2%: CONNECTICUT @ INDIANA

CONNECTICUT 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS VS INDIANA THIS SEASON 

SUN ARE 2-0 SU & ATS AT HOME VS INDIANA WITH WINS BY 17 & 21…BUT 0-1 ATS ON THE ROAD (WON 88-84 AS -5.5 POINT FAVORITES)

FINAL SCORE TOTALS HAVE LANDED ON 161 & 163 IN CONNECTICUT AND 172 IN THE GAME AT INDIANA

HOWEVER…TEAMS HAVE NOT PLAYED EACH OTHER SINCE JUNE 10TH (2½ MONTHS) AND THINGS HAVE CHANGED

LOOKING AT THE CURRENT FEVER TEAM IN THIS MATCHUP 

INDIANA’S LEVEL OF COMPETITIVENESS IS VERY DIFFERENT NOW 

THEY ARE 12-5 ATS IN THEIR L17

BREAKING THAT DOWN EVEN FURTHER JUST TO SHOW HOW POSITIVE THEIR ASCENT HAS BEEN…

THEY ARE 5-1 SU & ATS IN THEIR L6 HOME GAMES WITH STRAIGHT UP WINS OVER… 

NEW YORK (#1 TEAM IN THE LEAGUE) / MINNESOTA (#3 TEAM IN THE LEAGUE) AND 2 WINS AGAINST PHOENIX (#6)

CONNECTICUT IS 8-2 SU AS A ROAD FAVORITE BUT ONLY 5-5 ATS WITH ONE OF THOSE NON COVERS RIGHT HERE VS. THE FEVER

THEY’RE ALSO ONLY 1-3 ATS IN THAT ROLE SINCE THE OLYMPIC BREAK

DEFENSIVE DISPARITY IS SIGNIFICANT

CONNECTICUT #2 DEFENSIVE RATING IN THE LEAGUE & INDIANA STILL NEAR THE BOTTOM AT #11 BUT…

THEIR OFFENSE REMIANS SUBPAR ALTHOUGH IT’S A WORK IN PROGRESS AFTER THE RECENT ACQUISITION OF SHARPSHOOTER MARINA MABRY

SUN THRIVES OFF OF POINTS OFF TURNOVERS RANKING #1 IN THE LEAGUE TO COMPENSTATE FOR THEIR POOR SHOOTING

IN THE END

INDIANA PG CAITLIN CLARK HAS NOW SEEN THE TOUGH DEFENSE OF HER CONTERPART DIJONAI CARRINGTON 3 TIMES

SHE’S SEEN DEFENSES HOUND HER FOR 30 GAMES NOW AND SHE’S HANDLING IT ALMOST ROUTINELY NOW 

THE BACKCOURT TANDEM OF CLARK / KELSEY MITCHELL PLUS THE INTERIOR PLAY OF ALIYAH BOSTON IS ONE OF THE LEAGUE’S BEST OFFENSIVE TRIO’S 

FEVER HAVE SCORED 80+ POINTS IN 15 OF THEIR L17G

INDIANA’S TERRIBLE DEFENSE 3 PT DEFENSE LEAVES THE DOOR OPEN FOR MABRY & TY HARRIS

CONNECTICUT HAS SCORED 92/88/89 POINTS VS INDIANA (89.7 AVG-HIGHEST VS ANY TEAM) AND THE FEVER DEFENSE HASN’T REALLY IMPROVED 

POTENTIAL ABSENCE OF FEVER STARTING F KATIE LOU SAMULESON MEANS LEXI HULL GETS THOSE MINUTES AND SHE’S SHOOTING 41.3% FROM 3

SHAPES UP AS A GAME THAT SHOULD LAND 165 OR BETTER SO GONNA CALL FOR A 4TH STRAIGHT OVER BETWEEN THESE TEAMS

PLAY: Total Over 163.5 (-110)