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7:45 PM ET -- MLB 

953 San Diego Padres 
954 St. Louis Cardinals

Play: 954 ST. LOUIS +109

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 5%

Line Parameters: 
5% play at -105 or better 
4% play at -106 to -110 
3% play at -111 to -115 
2% play at -116 to -120

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON underdogs smaller than +130 if they lost as an underdog in their previous game, they had more hits than their season average in that loss, and their current starter produced a Quality Start in his last start. 
Record: 27-6 (82%) since May 9th 
Average Line: +113.5 
ROI (Return On Investment): 74.8% 
Average Score: Team 5.64, Opponent 3.79