Valladolid vs Leganes
La Liga, Wednesday, 1pm ET

Play: Under 2 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -115
Line Parameter: Playable to -130

Two teams that were just promoted from the Seguna Division (or La Liga 2) will lock horns on Wednesday, when Valladolid will host Leganes. This looks like a very tight game, neither team wants to lose, as these are both relegation candidates and we often see very careful matches in situations like this in the La Liga. 

Valladolid started the season with an easy Under against Espanyol, beating them by 1-0 at home, and then their away match against Real Madrid was almost an Under, as they held Real Madrid score-less in the first half, conceded the first at the 50th minute and then conceded two more goals in the 88th and 96th minute. Despite the 3-0 loss, Valladolid were really hard to break down. 

Leganes also keep things tight, starting off with a 1-1 draw at Osasuna, where the second goal was actually an own goal at the 79th minute. Then they beat Las Palmas by 2-1 at home, in a match where all 3 goals were scored after the 71st minute, and the last goal was scored in the stoppage time. So they have that defensive mindest, and they are now up against a team with a similar mindset. 

Last season these two were in the Segunda Division and both H2H matches were Draws and Unders (0-0 and 1-1), and they are now on a 4-0 run to the Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams kept the coaches that promoted them, so the defensive logic is still there. 

Valladolid were 14-7 to the Under 2.5 Goals at home with an average of 2.1 goals/match, and Leganes were 14-7 to the Under 2.5 goals on the road with an average of 1.9 goals/match. 

Last but not least, this is what we call a "6-pointer", in the sense that whoever wins not only do they take 3 points for themselves, but they also deprive one of their main relegation competitors of 3 points. I think we see a cagey match without a lot of goals. 

Take 3u on the Under 2 Goals (-115), playable to -130