5% Boston Red Sox & Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 — 

Factor in the way the year has gone for these two teams against the AL East this year when it comes to OU with the fact that both of these bullpens are going to be running on fumes against some of the hottest bats in the 2nd half of TY, and you get plenty of reasons to ride the OVER in this matchup. 

On the season TY @ Fenway, Boston is 11-3-2 OU against their AL East opponents, including 8-0-1 in the L9! In those L9 games the teams are combining for nearly 13 runs/game! 

While Toronto has the highest Ov% in the MLB in divisional games going 29-13 OU (69%). The Blue Jays are 21-6 OU in the L27 divisional games and have gone over in 8 of the L10 vs. the AL East on the road! Not to mention, the two teams are 5-1 OU in their 6 H2H games. 

While I didn’t list the pitchers because there is a chance after a double header that we could see some things shake up, the listed starting pitchers help the situation. Rodriguez (TOR) is noticeably worse on the road (4.99 ERA) and @ NGT (6.11 ERA). Toronto has gone over in 6 of his L8 starts, including 4 of the L5 on the road and 3 straight @ night. As for Criswell, the Red Sox have gone over in 3 of his L4 home starts and 3 of his 4 starts against the DIV TY. 

When you look at what these two teams have done since the All-Star break, both offensive units rank in the top 10 in batting average and runs scored. While both the bullpens have posted ERA’s 7.30+ vs. AL East foes over that same span! 

Plus, as I mentioned before, both these bullpens will also be running on fumes. Boston used 6 of their 9 RP’s on their roster in the 2 games yesterday, while Toronto used 7 out of 10! We could definitely see some struggling SPs be forced to stay in longer than normal in the given situation, seeing as the two teams have a combined 6 RPs that got to rest on Monday.