7:40 PM ET -- MLB 

971 Atlanta Braves 
972 Minnesota Twins

Play: 972 MINNESOTA -116

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at -125 or better 
3% play at -126 to -130 
2% play at -131 to -135

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON favorites of -150 or smaller that are coming off a game that they led after 8 innings but lost as a favorite if they lost their current starter's last start and were also the favorite in that game.  17-2 (89.5%) since 7/21/2021.