4% Philadelphia -158 Houston (list Wheeler)

I liked Philly but the system made it much stronger. Road team with no rest off a Sunday night road game playing in game #1 of a series are 3-26 (10.3%) which is -75% ROI. 

Philly has won 5 of 7 as a favorite and their offense has totaled 45 hits in their last 3 games. Philadelphia is 34-8 as a home favorite of -150 and higher including 12-4 in game #1 of a series. 

Zack Wheeler has a 2.40 ERA at home in 13 starts with a .184 OBA. In July Wheeler has a 1.73 ERA allowing 5 runs in 4 starts (26 innings) with 14 K’s and no walks the last two starts. 

The Astros are 4-6 in a series opener as an away dog or small away favorite. Since August 13 Houston has averaged 3.9 runs per game and 8.25 hits per game.