I'm going to play back at the market here.  I don't think the Titans playing their starters for a few series justifies a 3 point move here.

Saints still have a backup quarterback battle going between Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener and they are each expected to get a half here.

The Saints haven't been home at all this preseason so I think that plus the fact there should be a nice crowd at the Superdome gives the Saints the extra motivation late in the game here.

We have seen the “steam” not really be right all preseason and Week 3 so far has been a great example of that.  The Colts were extremely lucky to cover the peak number of -6.5 on Thursday while the 49ers went from a small underdog to -9 and ended up tying the Raiders.

Yesterday we had big moves toward the Steelers (Lions won outright), Panthers (covered most numbers but went off Bills +5.5 and landed 5) and Giants (Jets won outright) so the market moving intel has hardly being a great predictor of how these games will play out.  

I took a loss with the Saints last week in a game where they were driving to win (against a far deeper 49ers team) and just couldn't put together the game winning drive but it was missed tackles and mistakes that put them in that place to begin with.  I'm guessing that was a point of emphasis for Dennis Allen and staff in practice this week and I expect a better effort from the Saints defensive reserves here.

I feel like I'm getting +6 with the home team as a trade off for having to weather the storm of a few possessions for the Titans first team offense.  As long as Tennessee doesn't come out and go up 21-0 I think were good here and that's a chance I'm willing to take.

Play on Saints +6 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)