(4%) OAKLAND RL (+1.5 RUNS) I like the A's chances of winning this one “outright.” However, I'm also happy to be getting an extra +1.5 runs in a game which will likely be close and where runs may be at a premium. Estes was excellent again last start but the A's lost 1-0. That makes it four of his last five starts, including each of his past three at home, which were decided by a single run. In fact, Estes has allowed just 12 combined earned runs in his past seven starts. He's got a 2.82 ERA over that stretch, a 2.59 mark in the four home starts. While Montas has also been really sharp his last couple of starts, he was really struggling before that. He's still got an ERA above five since mid-July. On the season, he's got a 4.96 ERA on the road and a 4.94 ERA when pitching during the day. His last two starts were both Milwaukee 1-run wins. Grab the extra +1.5 runs. *reduce to 3% if higher than -155