8:10 PM ET -- MLB 

921 St. Louis Cardinals 
922 Minnesota Twins

Play: 922 MINNESOTA -144 

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at -160 or better  
2% play at -165 to -170

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play AGAINST underdogs that are on at least a 2-game win streak if it's not the last game of a series and their starter is coming off a Quality Start in his last start.  39-20 (66%) since April 30th.

Play AGAINST underdogs who shut out their previous opponent and scored at least 5 earned runs the last time they faced their current opponent.  13-5 (72%) since last season.