979 Oakland at NY Mets

The Athletics have been a top ten hitting team this year vs southpaws, with a 113 wRC+. This is a squad that was considered a bottom dweller before the season, now excitement is in the air for A’s fans. Unfortunately, Oakland isn’t the city that will benefit. The A’s are only a game behind the Angels, and four games behind the fading World Series Champion Rangers. 

Shaun Estes has a huge home/road dichotomy this season. With a 2.40 ERA at home and 7.47 ERA on the road. So obviously regression is coming to both those numbers. This is a good pitching park, so we can see that road number dropping considerably here. The Mets are only 30-30 at home this year, and have lost 7 of 10 including four straight overall. In those four games they produced five combined runs. 

As we have mentioned before, David Peterson is one of the luckiest starters in baseball. A 3.34 ERA to go along with a 1.42 WHIP. One of those numbers does not equal the other. In fact, his xERA is 5.42, over two full runs higher. When looking at his advanced stats, he’s only better than league average in ground ball rate and extension. Coming off two good starts against the poor hitting Angels and Rockies, Peterson is in for a wakeup call vs these A’s bats.

PLAY OAKLAND

Good to +145