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Steve Merril

Steve Merril

(905) Washington Nationals at (906) New York Mets

Event:
(905) Washington Nationals at (906) New York Mets
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 10, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-108
Play:
4% – (905) Washington Nationals at (906) New York Mets Total Over 9.5 (-108) P Corbin (LHP), L Severino (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

-Washington starter Patrick Corbin projects to give up 3.3 runs with a 5.17 ERA and 1.53 WHIP  

-lefty projects to have a 5.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.3 strikeout/walk ratio

-Mets lineup has hit a solid .311 (68-219) with a strong .933 OPS against Corbin in his career

-New York starter Luis Severino is slated for 2.8 earned runs with a 4.75 ERA and 1.44 WHIP 

-righty projects to have a 6.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.5 strikeout/walk ratio

-Nationals offense is averaging 5.5 runs per game on 10 hits per game over their last 4 games

4% Play OVER the total (Corbin/Severino).

Line Parameter: 4% play (9.5 or less).  3% play (10 or more). 


 

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