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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(911) Minnesota Twins at (912) Chicago White Sox

Event:
(911) Minnesota Twins at (912) Chicago White Sox
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 10, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-123
Play:
3% – Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-123) B Ober (RHP), E Fedde (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

3% Chi White Sox +1.5 (2:10 ET): Please note I am playing the RUN LINE here. Yesterday's game between the Twins and White Sox was rained out. I had bet the home team (Chicago) +1.5 and will come back with that as we've got the same exact pitching matchup for the first game of today's double header. My condolences to anyone who had the White Sox +1.5 on Monday as they blew a 5-2 lead and lost 8-6 in 11 innings. That result makes the Twins a perfect 8-0 against the Sox this season and they've scored six or more runs in seven of the victories. However, a majority of the games have been close, including three by exactly one run. In 6 of the 8 games, the White Sox have held a 2-run lead. My “gut” tells me that the White Sox are finally going to break through and get a win in this first game today, the key being Erick Fedde is on the mound, but as Monday proved (yet again) the White Sox beleaguered bullpen is difficult to trust. I feel more comfortable betting this team with the +1.5 run in my pocket. 

Fedde has pitched a lot better at home this season. It's been awhile since he last pitched here at Guaranteed Rate Field as six of his last seven starts have come on the road. That being said, last time out, he went six innings and allowed just one run on three hits in Cleveland. The White Sox went on to pick up a surprising 8-2 win (as +191 ML underdogs). Now, at home, Fedde is 4-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.91 WHIP this season. Look for the former KBO standout to pitch well here again. In his lone career appearance vs. the Twins (on April 23rd), he allowed just one run in six innings with 11 strikeouts and zero walks. Should also be noted - as a whole - the White Sox staff is allowing a full run less per game at home compared to on the road. 

It’s been just the reverse for Minnesota starter Bailey Ober, whose ERA is nearly a full run and a half higher on the road compared to at Target Field. While Ober did pick up a win here on the Southside back on May 1st, it’s not like he pitched all that well. He gave up four runs and had just three strikeouts over six innings. 3% Chi White Sox +1.5 (Play to -135)

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