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Bryan Leonard

Bryan Leonard

(911) Minnesota Twins at (912) Chicago White Sox

Event:
(911) Minnesota Twins at (912) Chicago White Sox
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 10, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
138
Play:
3% – Chicago White Sox +138 B Ober (RHP), E Fedde (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

912 Minnesota at Chicago WS

We really like Bailey Ober, and feel he is one of the most underrated starters in the league. He comes in with a 4.12 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. But we are concerned about his ability to pitch in this ballpark, which is a good stadium for hitters. He throws his four seamer 39% of the time, but his fastball velocity grades out in the 19th percentile. That coupled with a 7th percentile ground ball rate, means he is an extreme fly ball pitcher. We don’t expect a good performance here from the young righty. From a bullpen standpoint, neither Duran or Jax will be available tonight. In fact, their four backend relievers have all pitched twice in the last two or three days. 

Erick Fedde has been a totally different pitcher after returning to the states from a year abroad. He has a 3.13 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. His MLB career numbers show a 4.98 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. So the year away has really been a positive. He’s been a money maker with a 6-3 record, for a team that has a 26-66 record on the season. Chicago is a much better team now than earlier in the year, and are competitive on a daily basis. The Twins outlasted them last night, but we expect the Sox to even the current series here. 

PLAY CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Good to +128

GAME 1 OF DOUBLEHEADER

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