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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(973) Kansas City Royals at (974) St. Louis Cardinals

Event:
(973) Kansas City Royals at (974) St. Louis Cardinals
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 9, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-120
Play:
3% – (973) Kansas City Royals at (974) St. Louis Cardinals Total Under 8.0 (-120) M Wacha (RHP), A Pallante (RHP) Must Start
Result:
No Play
Analysis

7:45 PM ET -- MLB 

973 Kansas City Royals   
974 St. Louis Cardinals

Play: UNDER 8 -120      

List Pitchers: ACTION                        

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at 8 or better 
2% play at 7.5

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play UNDER in games where the road underdog's starter's per-game ERA has dropped in four straight starts.  29-11-2 (72.5%) since 2023.

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