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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(973) Kansas City Royals at (974) St. Louis Cardinals

Event:
(973) Kansas City Royals at (974) St. Louis Cardinals
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 9, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-108
Play:
2% – (973) Kansas City Royals at (974) St. Louis Cardinals Total Under 8.0 (-108) M Wacha (RHP), A Pallante (RHP) Must Start
Result:
No Play
Analysis

2% Under Royals/Cardinals (7:45 ET): Talked about this on the Morning Wager with Mark Zinno. Terrible scheduling spot for the overachieving Cardinals, who get no day off between series as they return home after playing seven road games in seven days. This has been a bottom-third offense in baseball at home this season.

Meanwhile, Kansas City's offensive production declines greatly on the road. They go from averaging 5.2 runs per game at home to 3.9 rpg away from Kauffman Stadium. That's the biggest home vs road split of any team. They're bottom five in almost every metric away from home, including 28th in wRC+ and last in BABIP. Cardinals' starter Andre Pallante has allowed 1 or 0 ER in four of his last five starts, so he should be in line for another solid outing tonight.

I also like what I've seen recently from Royals' starter Michael Wacha, who has a 2.31 ERA his L8 starts. Kansas City is top four in all of MLB in fewest runs per game allowed on the road. All signs point to this being a low-scoring opener in the I-70 Showdown Series. 

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