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Jimmy Adams

Jimmy Adams

(961) Cleveland Guardians at (962) Detroit Tigers

Event:
(961) Cleveland Guardians at (962) Detroit Tigers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 9, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-138
Play:
3% – Cleveland Guardians -138 B Lively (RHP), K Maeda (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

At 56 wins the Guardians aren’t far behind from chasing down the best record in baseball. They have a great opportunity Tuesday to add another W with Kenta Maeda taking the mound in Detroit. Maeda is a pure fade candidate, entering with a wOBA of .375 and ranking in the 1st percentile in pitching run value. He was absolutely lit up in his latest outing, allowing 9 earned with a 1/1 strikeout to walk ratio in 3.2 innings against the Twins. Detroit has also lost his past 7 trips to the mound. We know that Cleveland has been great at creating contact, but they’ve also added a significant amount of power this season which has led to more success. Ben Lively has been extremely consistent, allowing 3 earned or fewer in 13 of his 14 starts on the year. He has the best bullpen in baseball behind him in terms of ERA once he exits and we can expect Cleveland to coast to a win this evening. Take the Guardians. 

3% Play on Guardians (961) at -155 or better, 2% at worse than -155 

 

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