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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

Seattle Sounders at Sacramento Republic

Event:
Seattle Sounders at Sacramento Republic
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
July 9, 2024 11PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-135
Play:
3% – REGULATION Seattle 0.0 (-135)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Sacramento Republic vs Seattle Sounders
US Open Cup, Tuesday, 11pm ET

Play: Seattle Sounders PK
Odds at Time of Release: -135
Line Parameter: Playable to -150, otherwise reduce to 2% and take Seattle -0.25

We got the Quarter-Finals of the US Open Cup on Tuesday and Wednesday, and we are looking at a Tuesday match between USL side Sacramento Republic and MLS side Seattle Sounders. 

Sacramento are sitting 3rd in the USL (W7 D7 L3) and they are somehow better on the road (W4 D4 L0) than they are at home (W3 D3 L3). They have been in mediocre form as of late, winning just 2 of L/9 matches in league and Cup (W2 D4 L3). They will now play host to a formidable Seattle side that is on a 3-match winning streak in the MLS, unbeaten in L/5 (W4 D1) and have only lost to Kansas in L/10 (W6 D3 L1). 

Seattle haven't been that good away from home this season, but they've had a lot of injuries and missing some players on international duty, but they are steadily getting better, they have climbed inside the playoff spots in the West and they are now a couple of steps before the US Open Cup final, a competition that they've won 4 times in the past (albeit none since 2013/14). 

Seattle are the better side, although they might rotate in this match, but they rested some key players in their recent matches (for example, Ruidiaz played just 30 minutes over the weekend), and they will have a strong lineup, as they have a clear path to the semi-finals, where they will face the winner of the LAFC/New Mexico tie. 

Maybe this goes to extra-time and/or penalty kicks, but a LOT of bookmakers are slacking out there and they still have Seattle PK (or Draw no Bet, it's the same bet) available at decent prices. For context, Draftkings and FanDuel are not among those, and those two are always giving us BAD lines compared to the majority of other sportsbooks. 

Pinnacle (-131), MGM (-145), Bet365 (-142), they all have this line (you might find it under the Alternate Asian Handicap), and we are going to take the safe route of Seattle Sounders PK (or +0.0, or Draw no Bet, again these are all the same bet). 

Take 3u on Seattle Sounders PK (-135 average odds). If you can't find this line and the only thing available in your book is the -0.25, reduce the wager to 2% and take Seattle -0.25. 

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