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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(216717) KA Akureyri at (216718) Hafnarfjordur

Event:
(216717) KA Akureyri at (216718) Hafnarfjordur
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
July 8, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-115
Play:
2% – (216717) KA Akureyri at (216718) Hafnarfjordur REGULATION Total Over 3.25 (-115)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Hafnarfjordur vs KA Akureyri
Iceland, Monday, 3:15pm ET

Play: Over 3.25 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -115
Line Parameter: Playable to -130

Hafnarfjordur are coming off a slim 1-0 win at home against Breidablik, one of the best teams in this league, so take that result with a grain of salt. Prior to that, Hafnarfjordur weer on a 4-0 run to the Over 3.5 Goals (with Both Teams to Score in all 4). At home they are 4-1 to the Over 2.5 Goals and 3-2 to the Over 3.5 Goals, with Both Teams to Score being 4-1. They can score, but they rarely keep clean sheets. 

KA Akureyri are coming off a nice 3-2 win at home against Valur in the semi-finals of the Icelandic Cup, and clinched a ticket to the final (which will be played in late August). They are on a 10-0 run to the Over 2.5 goals, and 7-3 to the Over 3.5 Goals (with the other 3 matches finishing with exactly 3 goals). On the road they are 5-0 to the Over 2.5 goals and 3-2 to the Over 3.5 Goals, with the other two matches ending with 3 goals each. 

The two teams met in mid-April, where Hafnarfjordur won by 3-2 on the road, and now each of L/5 H2H matches had 3 goals or more, and 2 of those went to the Over 3.5 Goals.The way I see it, this match has at least 3 goals, with a very good chance of seeing another goal-fest between two Icelandic sides that can score, but can't really keep clean sheets. 

The Asian Total is set at 3.25 Goals, which is a split line between 3 and 3.5 Goals, and we are going to take the Over 3.25 Goals. 

Take 2u on the Over 3.25 Goals (-115), I think worst case scenario this match finishes with 3 goals and we still get half a push. Although I do think that there is a very good chance we see 4-5-6 goals in typical Icelandic fashion. 
 

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