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(963) Houston Astros at (964) Minnesota Twins

Event:
(963) Houston Astros at (964) Minnesota Twins
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 7, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-103
Play:
3% – (963) Houston Astros at (964) Minnesota Twins Total Over 9.0 (-103) Action
Result:
Loss
Analysis

3% Take the Minnesota Twins - Houston Astros OVER (#963-964) (action)

We’ve got two of the hottest lineups in baseball matching up on a beautiful summer day in Minneapolis with the wind blowing out.  Both teams are Top 5 offensively over the last 30 days and both are Top 8 offensively against opposing righties full season.  We’ve seen 37 runners cross home plate in the first two games of this series; two hot hitting lineups right now.  Houston has cashed seven overs in their last nine games.  They’ve scored 100 runs in their last 14.  Minnesota has cashed six straight Overs.  The Twins have scored five runs or more in six of their last seven games and they’ve pounded out 33 runs in their last three, flying Over the total by themselves in all three games.  This is an ‘action’ wager more about current offensive form than starting pitching.  That said, Spencer Arrighetti has been bombed in each of his last two road outings while Simeon Woods Richardson has shown a clear decline over the past month; battling with his control and struggling with the gopher ball.  Expect another high scoring affair this afternoon, even with a couple of key Astros bats likely to sit (hence the late move to the Under in the betting markets).  Take the OVER.

Line Parameter: 3% at 9 or lower, 2% at 9.5 or higher 

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