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Carmine Bianco

Carmine Bianco

(235749) Canada at (235750) Argentina

(235749) Canada at (235750) Argentina
July 9, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
4% – REGULATION Argentina -1.25 (-120)

Copa America - Canada at Argentina 

Game Thoughts: Not many would have pegged this as the first semifinal match of Copa America but here we are with the two nations that kicked off this competition back on June 20th. Canada has surprised most with a run to the semifinals including a win in penalty kicks in the quarterfinals against previously unbeaten Venezuela but that good run really should end here. It's been a physical past couple of games against Peru and Venezuela and while that energy will run high early in this one it's unlikely they'll sustain it and this does shape up to be a multigoal type win for Argentina. Canada's xG number conceded vs Venezuela and their opponents lack of finish are the main reasons this play. Argentina are more clinical and have played better as this tournament has progressed and that's including having to go to penalties last time out. In their group stage meeting Argentina held an xG advantage of 3.38 to 1.0 with 63% possession, 19 attempts on goal and 10 shots on target. Canada will again look to defend but their historic run to the semifinals comes to an end Tuesday. 

The play is Argentina -1.25 -120 (Split line of -1.0 and -1.5) 4% Good to -1.5

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