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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(971) Los Angeles Angels at (972) Chicago Cubs

Event:
(971) Los Angeles Angels at (972) Chicago Cubs
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 5, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-115
Play:
4% – (971) Los Angeles Angels at (972) Chicago Cubs Total Under 9.5 (-115) G Canning (RHP), J Steele (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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2:20 PM ET -- MLB 

971 Los Angeles Angels   
972 Chicago Cubs

Play: UNDER 9.5 -115    

List Pitchers: Canning & Steele                        

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at 9.5 or better 
3% play at 9
2% play at 8.5

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play UNDER on underdogs larger than +135 if the team won today's starter's previous start and that start was against an opponent from the same league, they were not a dog of +145 or more, the starter struck out at least 1 batter, and the team was trailing in that game after 7 innings. 27-5-1 (84.4%) since 7/12/2022.

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