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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(973) Chicago White Sox at (974) Miami Marlins

Event:
(973) Chicago White Sox at (974) Miami Marlins
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 5, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-125
Play:
4% – Miami Marlins -125 D Thorpe (RHP), B Hoeing (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Was annoyed initially when I had to lay -125 when I could have had -115 but this is now -135 most places so I suppose a good bet in that regard.

The Marlins have called up some guys I like and I think we see Miami stack all of their top relievers after Hoeing here.

Still trying to figure out exactly what Miami's bulk innings option is here I also didn't want to miss a playable number so I'm firing with the mindset that I'll like that setup better than Drew Thorpe on the road.

I like Thorpe but this is still a guy that would probably be in AA in most organizations. I think the White Sox are in a tough spot after a competitive series in Cleveland on the road here.

Update: Marlins haven't tipped their hand regarding what they plan to do with their pitching so I think we see a true bullpen game here.  Hoeing will likely go once through the order (2-3 innings) based on what he did in rehab at Jacksonville last week. The Marlins used a bunch of relievers yesterday but none exceeded the 20 pitch mark so I can see them going back to guys like Puk, Scott or recently called up Matt Andriese today.

Is that perfect? No it's not, but this isn't your typical game.  The White Sox will be 40 games under .500 if they lose here and I think that's the likely outcome in this one.

Play on Marlins -125 for 4% (or 4 units)

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