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Drew Martin

Drew Martin

(951) New York Mets at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates

Event:
(951) New York Mets at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 5, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
117
Play:
3% – New York Mets +117 Action
Result:
Loss
Analysis

We are jumping in with the contrarian play on the Mets. The whole world backing Paul Skenes and having some solid reasons to do so. The #1 pick overall is showing his skill set can translate right away in MLB. However, laying (-140) with the Pirates in morning trading is expensive. Skenes has given up 6 hits in each of his last 3 starts and is facing a NY lineup that is the hottest lineup across baseball over the past two weeks. The Mets have the #6 walk rate over the last two weeks as well, meaning they are seeing a bunch of pitches. Likely a sign that Skenes does not go too deep in this game. The Metropolitans have won 5 of the last 6 times their starter Severino has taken the hill and he blanked the Pirates lineup over 6 innings earlier this season. Big offensive advantage points to New York. Bet Mets as high as (+123).  

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