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Ronald Cabang

Ronald Cabang

(609) Las Vegas Aces at (610) Los Angeles Sparks

Event:
(609) Las Vegas Aces at (610) Los Angeles Sparks
Sport/League:
WNBA
Date/Time:
July 5, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-110
Play:
2% – Las Vegas Aces -12.0 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

The Aces have now won six in a row, all by double digits…they covered in five of those six games. All of that correlates with Chelsea Gray being back in the lineup. 

At first glance, the spot might say Sparks…but diving deep into the situation, the Aces are in a more profitable situation. Since 2012, teams on the 2nd leg of back to back games and are on the road favored by 8 or more points are 7-0 straight up and 6-0-1 against the spread! this is the spot the Aces are in today. 

The Sparks have been good against the spread as double digit dogs this season, but they have struggled to cover at home…just 2-6 ATS in LA.

If you look at recent form, the Sparks are really struggling on both sides of the ball. They are turning the ball over at the highest rate in the league the last five games as well as allowing the highest effective field goal percentage in the league.

The starters did not play heavy minutes yesterday, they should be good to go even with the short travel. Give me the Aces to win by margin and cover the large spread. Okay up to -14.

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