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Jimmy Adams

Jimmy Adams

(951) New York Mets at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates

Event:
(951) New York Mets at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 5, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-130
Play:
4% – 1H Pittsburgh Pirates -130 P Skenes (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

It's not often that the Pirates find themselves out of last place after the 4th of July, but the Bucs are just a few games below .500 and send new sensation Paul Skenes to the mound. By now the majority of you know all about Skenes and how he’s allowed 1 run or none in each of his past 4 starts while striking out 32 batters in the process. His 34.1% K rate sits near the top of the league and when he’s not striking out batters he does a great job of keeping them on the ground. And while the Mets haven’t had much trouble scoring the past few weeks we have seen a significant drop in batting average over the past 7 days as the team is hitting just .208 over that span. Regression will certainly come in terms of runs scored and we saw some evidence of that when New York was shut out yesterday. Luis Severino is up and down, though he has allowed at least 4 earned in 2 of his past 3 starts. Skenes won’t need much run support and we’ll bet on him and the Bucs to be ahead when he exits. Take the Pirates F5. 

4% Play on Pirates FIRST 5 at -140 or better, 3% at worse than -140 

 

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