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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(235741) Panama at (235742) Colombia

Event:
(235741) Panama at (235742) Colombia
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
July 6, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-120
Play:
4% – (235741) Panama at (235742) Colombia REGULATION Total Over 2.5 (-120)
Result:
Win
Analysis

4% Over Panama/Colombia (6:00 ET): It has been a “dream” start to the Copa America for Colombia, who were Group D winners with 7 points from their 3 matches and now they get the ideal draw for the quarterfinals against Group C runner-up Panana. After winning their first two group matches (over Paraguay and Costa Rica) by an aggregate score of 5-1, all Colombia needed against Brazil was a draw and that’s what they got (1-1) after a late 1H equalizer from Daniel Munoz. Now Los Cafeteros, unbeaten in 23 matches under Nestor Lorezona (17 W & 6 D), are the biggest favorite in any of the four Copa America quarterfinal fixtures. 

Goals should not be a problem for Colombia here. Panama conceded in all three Group Stage matches, even against terrible Bolivia. The United States was down to 10 men against Panama and still found the back of the net. (That was after an early US goal was VAR’d off for offside). Against Uruguay, Panama conceded three goals. Colombia is certainly capable of doing the same Saturday as they’ve put a total of 7 goals in the back of the net the L2 times they’ve faced Panama. The bottom line is that I just don’t trust this Panama defense right now. 

Given Colombia's price on the 3-way line is obviously far too high, and that Panama could very well score here as well, the Over is the only way to play this one. Panama did score in all three Group Stage matches while the only match Colombia kept a clean sheet was against inept Costa Rica. Five of the six matches involving these two sides have gone Over 2.5. Again, Colombia is more than capable of putting this one Over the number themselves, but I’ll also welcome the chance Panama scores as well. 4% Over Panama/Colombia (2.5)

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