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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(235737) Canada at (235738) Venezuela

(235737) Canada at (235738) Venezuela
July 5, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
3% – REGULATION Venezuela 0.0 (-125)

Venezuela vs Canada
Copa America, Friday, 9pm ET

Play: Venezuela PK
Odds at Time of Release: -125
Line Parameter: Playable to -135

Venezuela are having the tournament of their lives, exactly as we predicted in our Free Play videos prior to the start of the Copa America. A team that was the punching bag of these groups until recently, but have flipped the script in the past couple of years and are now out there doing a lot of good stuff. They have won all 3 matches so far, against Ecuador, Mexico and Jamaica, scoring 6 goals and conceding just 1. Their only losses since this coach took over in March of '23 came against Colombia (on two occasions, both away and both by 1-0) and to Italy (by 2-1) in a match where they missed an early penalty kick. Their record across all competitions reads W8 D5 L3 in that span, and in competitive matches alone they are W5 D3 L1. A team with a lot of individual talent that has already shown their teeth. 

Canada barely made it out of the group stage, losing fair and square to Argentina by 2-0, beating Peru by a slim 1-0 AFTER Peru were left with 10 men at the 59th minute, and playing for a goal-less draw against Chile, who ALSO saw an early red card at the 27th minute and still generated 0.96 xG to Canada's 1.08, they created 7 shots with 6 on target (to Canada's 10 shots with 4 on target) and even had 46% ball possession. With 10 men! 

I'm gonna say it again, Canada are lucky to even be here. Now they get a Venezuela team that has won all 3 matches, has played beautiful soccer and has a lot of individual talent that can certainly hurt Canada. 

We've been riding with Venezuela through this entire tournament (and we do have a +15000 ticket on Rondon to win the Golden Boot), and we will do so again. Canada have struggled to beat teams even when those are with 10 men on the pitch, and Venezuela are comig in hot. 

Take 3u on Venezuela PK (-125), which is the same bet as Venezuela Draw no Bet, so make sure to look around to find the best odds (cause books have different odds for the exact same thing). 

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