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Ronald Cabang

Ronald Cabang

(605) Washington Mystics at (606) Las Vegas Aces

Event:
(605) Washington Mystics at (606) Las Vegas Aces
Sport/League:
WNBA
Date/Time:
July 4, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – Washington Mystics +16.0 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

I think the books continue to undervalue this Mystics team and we are getting an inflated line with the Aces at home and just defeating the Indiana Fever by a huge margin. 

Mystics are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 games and I think that trend continues against the Aces. From a statistical analysis standpoint, the Mystics match up well with the Aces on both sides of the ball. Looking at the last ten games, the Mystics have been performing well from the midrange and three point range while the Aces have struggled to defend those ranges.

From a team total aspect, the Aces are 8-2 to their team total under when playing at home this season. The Aces also have an average margin thats smaller at home than it is on the road. 

Even if the Aces end up having a large lead at half, the fact that the Aces are on the 2nd leg of back to back games leaves the back door open for the Mystics. 

The Aces may win this game, but the Mystics should be able to stay within the 16 points.

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