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Jimmy Adams

Jimmy Adams

(921) Baltimore Orioles at (922) Seattle Mariners

Event:
(921) Baltimore Orioles at (922) Seattle Mariners
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 4, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-139
Play:
3% – Baltimore Orioles -139 C Burnes (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

The Orioles go for the sweep today in Seattle while sending their ace to the mound in Corbin Burnes, who has been everything they could want and more after signing him in the offseason. Burnes enters off 7 innings of 1 run ball and has also had success against the Mariners recently. He allowed just 1 run when he faced them back in May, and with the way Seattle is swinging the bats, we can expect scoring to be hard to come by once again. The Mariners have scored just 1run total so far in this series and rank dead last in both OPS and batting average over the past week, hitting just .167 collectively. This isn’t an anomaly, as they also have the worst BA in the majors for the entire season. Bryce Miller faced Baltimore in May as well and gave up 5 over 5.1 innings. Baltimore leads the majors in home runs and OPS on the year, so with the huge offensive differential combined with the scoring drought and prior struggles from Miller, it’s difficult to see Seattle turning things around in the series finale. Take the Orioles. 

3% Play on Orioles (921) at -160 or better, 2% at worse than -160 

 

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