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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) Colorado Rockies

Event:
(959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) Colorado Rockies
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 3, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-146
Play:
3% – Milwaukee Brewers -146 C Rea (RHP), D Hudson (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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8:40 PM ET -- MLB 

959 Milwaukee Brewers   
960 Colorado Rockies

Play: 959 MILWAUKEE -146    

List Pitchers: Rea & Hudson                      

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at -155 or better 
2% play at -156 to -160

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Milwaukee is 8-0 on the road this season when the game was never tied after 0-0 the last time the opposing starter faced them.

Milwaukee is 8-0 with Colin Rea starting as long as they're not an underdog of +135 or more, if the opposing starter allowed 5 or fewer earned runs the last time he faced them.

Milwaukee is 19-6 (76%) in the 2023-24 seasons when Colin Rea starts and they did not lose by 4 or more runs in Rea's last start against the current opponent.

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