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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(235733) Ecuador at (235734) Argentina

Event:
(235733) Ecuador at (235734) Argentina
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
July 4, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-130
Play:
3% – Argentina Win To Nil (-130)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

3% Argentina Win To Nil (9:00 ET): Second straight time that Argentina and Ecuador meet in a Copa America quarterfinal. La Albiceleste won 3-0 back in 2021 and a similar score is to be expected here after a perfect showing in Group A where they defeated Canada 2-0, Chile 1-0 and Peru 2-0. It’s now been eight consecutive matches across all competitions where the tournament favorites have won and they’ve conceded only two goals during that entire stretch. I had Argentina Win to Nil against Peru and I expect that to be the result again here. 

Ecuador got through Group B despite only one victory, so it’s obviously difficult to like their chances of winning against Argentina. Granted, they were down to 10 men (red card) against Venezuela and only needed a draw against Mexico to advance. But that was a pretty weak group, all things considered, and I can't see Ecuador handling this mammoth step up in class too well. They’ve lost six of the last seven times they’ve faced Argentina with the other result being a draw.

In terms of keeping a clean sheet here, that’s precisely what Argentina did in all three Group Stage matches and should be the case again Thursday. Lionel Messi should be featured here (hopefully?) after sitting out the Group stage finale vs. Peru. While all five of Argentina’s goals in this tournament have come in the second half, this is a team clearly capable of shutting down an opponent the entire way, even if they get an early lead. Ecuador have failed to score four of the last five times they’ve faced Argentina (all losses). They created less than 0.10 xG in the most recent meeting. 3% Argentina Win To Nil (Play to -145) 

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