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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(921) Los Angeles Angels at (922) Oakland Athletics

Event:
(921) Los Angeles Angels at (922) Oakland Athletics
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 2, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-103
Play:
2% – Oakland Athletics -103 J Soriano (RHP), M Spence (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

2% Oakland (9:40 ET): Another revenge series here as the Angels swept the A’s last week in Anaheim. That was part of what would turn into a season-best six-game win streak for the Halos. But as I wrote on Sunday (when I successfully faded them), LA was experiencing a lot of good fortune during that streak. Much of that good fortune came in that aforementioned series against the A’s with some “cluster luck” in two of the games (5-run innings) and a game-winning 3-run HR in the bottom of the eighth to finish off the sweep. They also had to erase a late three-run deficit Saturday against the Tigers. 

The Angels are not a good team, so I’ll continue to look to fade them heading into the All-Star Break. Now the A’s aren’t good either, but they’re A LOT better at home where they are a .500 team over the L2 months (and thus a money-maker as they are almost always underdogs). Compare that to a dreadful 3-24 WL record in their L27 road games. The A’s last homestand (6/18-6/23) began with a very similar setup as they were facing a Royals team that had previously swept them (in KC), and following an off-day, they ended up taking the first two games of that series. I think we see history repeat itself here. 

Too much will be made of the fact Angels starter Jose Soriano has thrown five consecutive quality starts. He’s actually coming off a stint on the IL, so he hasn’t pitched since June 12th. Soriano has faced the A’s twice in his career, both times coming last year as a reliever, and they were disasters as he allowed 10 runs in a total of 1 ⅔ IP! Now A’s starter Mitch Spence did not have a good time last week against the Angels, giving up a grand slam in a 7-5 loss. But that was basically all he allowed as he pitched into the sixth inning and struck out six. Spence has delivered a quality outing each of his L2 starts at home and that’s what I am expecting here. 2% Oakland (Play to -120)

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