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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(903) New York Mets at (904) Washington Nationals

Event:
(903) New York Mets at (904) Washington Nationals
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
July 2, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
120
Play:
2% – Washington Nationals +120 S Manaea (LHP), D Herz (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

2% Washington (6:40 ET): I thought the Mets were VERY lucky to win yesterday’s game, 9-7, here in the Nation’s Capital. They fell behind 2-0 early. Then they took the lead in the 6th after a throwing error, which should have been the final out of the inning. After the Nationals tied the game in the 8th, it went to extras and four runs by the home team in the bottom of the 10th actually wasn’t enough, because they gave up six in the top half. Really thought that spot favored the Nats as the Mets were coming off a loss Sunday that also went extra innings and was additionally lengthened by a near three-hour rain delay. 

But I’ll still come back with the Nats today at an even better price. Yes, the Mets have been hot (17-6 L23 games) but I have my questions on whether or not they can sustain this run going into the All-Star Break. Sean Manaea is starting Tuesday and he got rocked a couple times last month. He also has a 5.28 ERA in three previous appearances against the Nationals, who really should have won yesterday’s game in the bottom of the ninth as they had a RISP with no outs in the bottom of the ninth and couldn’t get him home. This Nats’ lineup is now better with the call-up of James Wood, their top prospect that made his big league debut on Monday. 

Manaea’s last quality start was on May 13th and he has only three of those (in 15 outings) all season. Opposing Manaea tonight will be DJ Herz, who pitched VERY well in his last home start, allowing just one hit over six shutout innings with 13 strikeouts. Granted, that was against Miami, but I’ll bank on him to get the job done here. One more note on Manaea - while the Mets did win his last start - against the Yankees, he had more walks (5) than strikeouts (3). That’s never good. As I mentioned yesterday, this is a revenge series for the Nats (swept by the Mets here at home last month). They get their revenge tonight. 2% Washington (Play to -105)

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