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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(623) Dallas Wings at (624) Seattle Storm

Event:
(623) Dallas Wings at (624) Seattle Storm
Sport/League:
WNBA
Date/Time:
July 1, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – Dallas Wings +11.5 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Seattle has now won three straight games by double digits, the Storm are now 12-6 which is better than I ever fathomed this team could be 18 games into the season so at a high level I'm simply selling Seattle making it 4 straight double digit wins here.

I also think it's somewhat telling that these two teams played on this floor over the weekend, the spread in that game was Wings +11.5 they lost by 21 and yet the spread in the exact rematch 2 days later is still exactly the same.

Arike Ogunbowale was dealing with a sore achillies earlier this season that caused her to miss a game with the Lynx but appears to be fine now playing essentually the full 40 in her last three games and going for 23, 23 and 24 respectively.

Seattle has AN ENTIRE MONTH of home games, they last played on the road agianst the Aces on June 19th and won't play another road game until playing the Sparks on July 16th.  That's 9 consecutive home games for the Storm and I think it's easy to get complacent under those circumstances, especially when playing a team they just blew out two days later.  

As long as Ogunbowale is on the floor the Wings can be competitive with anyone and all we are asking is that the Wings compete hard enough to stay within single digits here.

Play on Wings +11.5 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)

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