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(955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Atlanta Braves

Event:
(955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Atlanta Braves
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 29, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
100
Play:
3% – (955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Atlanta Braves 1H Total Under 3.5 (+100) P Skenes (RHP), M Fried (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

3% Take Atlanta - Pittsburgh FIRST FIVE INNINGS UNDER (#955-956). (listed pitchers)

We’ve got a pair of legitimate aces on the hill today in Paul Skenes and Max Fried.  Fried has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last eleven starts.  Nine of those eleven starts finished with six combined runs or less; one low scoring affair after the next.  Current Pirates have a lowly .532 OPS against him in a decent 77 at bat sample size.  Paul Skenes has absolutely lived up to the hype as MLB’s top pitching prospect coming into the season.  In eight starts, Skenes has allowed a grand total of 11 runs, with a 61-8 K-BB ratio; truly dominant.  Atlanta’s bats have been cold for weeks, held to three runs or less seven times in their last 11 games.  Pittsburgh isn’t hitting consistently either, 14-5 to the Under in their last 19 games. Let’s take the bullpens out of the equation and expect these two ‘top of the rotation’ starters to do exactly what they’ve been doing.  Take the UNDER FIRST FIVE INNINGS.

Line Parameter: 3% at Under 3.5 or better, 2% at 3 or lower (not likely to get there, but just in case)

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