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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(923) San Diego Padres at (924) Boston Red Sox

Event:
(923) San Diego Padres at (924) Boston Red Sox
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 28, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
136
Play:
3% – San Diego Padres +136 Action
Result:
Win
Analysis

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======================================

7:10 PM ET -- MLB 

923 San Diego Padres   
924 Boston Red Sox

Play: 923 SAN DIEGO +136  

List Pitchers: ACTION                  

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at +125 or better 
2% play at +115 to +124

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Boston is 2-11 this season in the first game of a series at home.

San Diego is 4-0 this season in Friday road games with the total set at 8 or higher (Average Line = +128.6).

Boston is 1-5 this season in Friday home games (Average Line = -137.4).

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