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The Prez

The Prez

(955) New York Mets at (956) Chicago Cubs

Event:
(955) New York Mets at (956) Chicago Cubs
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 23, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-102
Play:
3% – New York Mets -102 L Severino (RHP), J Assad (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

 NY METS (-105) vs CHICAGO CUBS

Severino going for the Mets tonight against Assad and that's a pitching advantage for the Mets who also happen to be the hottest hitting team in MLB since June 1. Severino is coming off his worst start of the season against Texas and will look to bounce back in this one on Sunday Night Baseball. He's a million times better than he was a year ago and that's because he's changed up his pitch selection and has added a sweeper/slider that has kept hitters off balance all year long. He's also cut down on the amount of HR's giving up this season and produces way more ground balls. He gets to face a Cubs lineup that have been below average against right-handed pitching this season, with a 95 wRC+ and just a .300 wOBA over the last 30 days. Assad is a reliver turned starting pitcher and he never pitches deep into games. He has to navigate through a Mets lineup that has been crushing the ball with a a 120 wRC+, which is the second-best mark in baseball, and they are also top 10 against right-handed pitching. No need to overthink this one. The Mets have all the value at even money and I think they come out swinging tonight against a pitcher who has plenty of negative regression signs in his numbers.

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