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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(633) Indiana Fever at (634) Chicago Sky

Event:
(633) Indiana Fever at (634) Chicago Sky
Sport/League:
WNBA
Date/Time:
June 23, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-120
Play:
4% – Chicago Sky -120
Result:
Win
Analysis

My strongest WNBA this season has been playing for/against the Fever so I'm going to take a shot with the Sky to not lose a third straight to the Fever here.

The first two meetings of this season were both competitive, the Sky probably should have won the first one (71-70 loss) and the second took a big 4th quarter from the Fever to pull away.

The Fever are improving (4 straight wins and 4-0 against the spread in their past four games) but I still have these two teams as equals from a power rating standpoint.

I jumped on a show on Friday where I commented on Fever/Dream and pointed out the inflation to the Fever being -3 on the road in Atlanta.  I didn't like the matchup and wasn't comfortable backing the Dream there (good thing as Fever won 91-79) but there's no question we are seeing big inflation again with Indiana and there's likely a spot coming where they fail to win or cover an inflated number.

This is a HUGE game for the Sky, it's the first time they will get the Fever AT HOME which means Caitlin Clark coming to town and a likely sell out.  The Sky could (and arguably should) have gotten over the hump for a win in one of the first two games so I think there's a greater than 50% chance that happens here.

This one is on the move but I'm willing to play just about any reasonable money line.  I think we see a big effort from the Sky at home in a big national TV spot and they finally get over the hump against the Fever.

Play on Sky -120 for 4% (or 4 units)

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