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Kevin Dolan

Kevin Dolan

(225497) Hungary at (225498) Scotland

Event:
(225497) Hungary at (225498) Scotland
Sport/League:
UEFA
Date/Time:
June 23, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-115
Play:
5% – REGULATION Hungary 0.0 (-115)
Result:
Win
Analysis

We're taking Hungary to get the win and cover against Scotland on Sunday in Group A.

Full Breakdown

Huge game between Scotland and Hungary on Sunday as Scotland look to progress through to their first knockout stage of a major tournament in their history, while Hungary look to return to some of their preseason expectations after two multiple goal defeats across their opening two matchdays.

After many people tipped Hungary to be a potential dark horse in this tournament, they just haven't lived up to billing so far, getting dismantled 3-1 against Switzerland in their opening game, and then having it all to do against Germany in a 2-0 loss also.

However, Hungary were much sharper in that second game against Germany, having a goal disallowed near the end of the first half which would have leveled the match, and let's not forget why they were regarded so highly coming into this tournament to begin with, losing just one of their previous 16 international matchups.

Scotland meanwhile did play much better themselves in matchday 2 after getting annihilated by Germany in their opening game. The Scots took a point against Switzerland in matchday 2 looking a lot more secure in midfield thanks to the efforts of Billy Gilmours shift in the middle of the park, but they nevertheless rode their luck in that game, with Switzerland suffering two disallowed goals over the course of the match.

Scotland have been in some terrible form across the last year, winning just one international game since September, that coming against minnows Gibraltar in a slender 2-0 win (Gibraltar allowed 14 against France just seven months earlier for comparison), so we're struggling to see how, despite a marginally better performance against Switzerland in matchday 2, that the Scots are being priced up at a pick 'em price for this one.

If this was a matchday 1 game instead of a matchday 3 one, then Hungary would have gone into this game as favorites no question, so we're definitely getting some value on this line. The question is how much has the landscape changed across those opening two games?

For us, not all that much, and with the added historic pressure of Scotland potentially qualifying for their first-ever knockout round of a major tournament, Hungary should be able to take advantage here and hand Scotland their 12th group stage exit in a major competition.

Take Hungary +0 (pick 'em) to win and cover against Scotland on Sunday in Euro 2024 Group A.

PLAY: HUNGARY +0 (-115)

*Line good to -140, -141 > [No play]

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