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The Gold Sheet

The Gold Sheet

(925) Boston Red Sox at (926) Cincinnati Reds

Event:
(925) Boston Red Sox at (926) Cincinnati Reds
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 22, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-119
Play:
2% – Boston Red Sox -119 N Pivetta (RHP), F Montas (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

Here's one you don't hear very often: Frankie Montas' best start this season came at Coors Field. The veteran righty threw 7.0 scoreless innings with one hit allowed against the Rockies on June 4. Other than that? He's been pretty bad. Aside from that game in Denver, Montas has allowed 3+ runs in each of his last six starts. Cincinnati has lost Montas' last five starts at home. In fact, the Reds' only home win with Montas on the mound came on Opening Day against the Nationals. He enters Saturday in the bottom-30th percentile among pitchers in expected ERA, expected batting average allowed, whiff rate, strikeout rate and walk rate. In his last two starts, he's struck out seven batters while walking six. Cincinnati got the win on Friday, but Boston's bullpen is in better shape entering Saturday. The Red Sox bullpen only threw 31 pitches last night compared to 62 by the Reds, as Cincinnati used its key relievers (Sam Moll, Nick Martinez and Alexis Diaz) to close last night's game. Rafael Devers is 5-for-11 with two doubles and a walk in 12 plate appearances against Montas.

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