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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(208345) Sao Paulo at (208346) Vasco da Gama

Event:
(208345) Sao Paulo at (208346) Vasco da Gama
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
June 22, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-115
Play:
2% – (208345) Sao Paulo at (208346) Vasco da Gama REGULATION Total Over 2.0 (-115)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Vasco vs Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A, Saturday, 8:30pm ET

Play: Over 2 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -115
Line Parameter: Playable to -125

Vasco just sacked their coach after remaining score-less for the 3rd consecutive match, and they haven't been good so far in the season (W2 D1 L7), scoring just 7 goals and conceding 21 in the process, with the worst goal difference (-14) and barely sitting above the relegation zone. They are getting star striker Vegetti back from his suspension, and after the change in coach, this will come as a (welcoming) shock to the team. 

Vasco are 5-1 to the Over 2.5 goals at home in their L/6, keeping just 1 clean sheet and conceding 2+ goals in 3 of 6. They did score in 4 of 6, and scored 2+ goals in 3 of 6.

Sao Paulo rotated their squad in their last match (Brazilian teams absolutely need to rotate because they have a BRUTAL schedule, playing every 3 days, and they also have a lot of players missing in the Copa America). The result was a tough 1-0 home loss to Cuiaba, which means that they are now win-less in L/3 (but with a tough schedule). 

Sao Paulo are 4-1 to the Over 2.5 goals on the road, and 6-2 if we also include their three Copa Libertadores matches. 
5 of L/6 H2H matches regardless of venue had at least two goals, with 3 of them going to the Over 2.5, while 9 of L/10 in this venue had 2 goals or more. 

Take 2u on the Over 2 Goals (-115)
 

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