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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(225493) Romania at (225494) Belgium

Event:
(225493) Romania at (225494) Belgium
Sport/League:
UEFA
Date/Time:
June 22, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
100
Play:
2% – Romelu Lukaku Anytime Goal Scorer (+100)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

2% Romelu Lukaku Anytime Goal Scorer (3:00 ET): Hitting the player prop market, which is pretty rare for me (especially in soccer), but this one is too good to pass up. Lukaku had not one but TWO goals disallowed in Belgium’s opening match. That 1-0 loss to Slovakia remains the most stunning result of any fixture in this Euro Cup thus far, IMO. Few, if ANYBODY, would have anticipated Romania being three points up on the Belgians heading into this second round of Group E action. All the more shocking was the way Romania took down Ukraine (3-0!) in their opener. 

But we’re not going to concern ourselves with how many goals Romania scores on Saturday. What we are going to do is focus on the Belgian side, Lukaku specifically. Shop around (i.e. try to avoid DraftKings as they have this priced WAY higher than the rest of the market). Not only did Lukaku have the two goals disallowed against Slovakia, one for offside and the other for a handball, but he had several other chances to put the ball in the back of the net. As these odds indicate, it is quite likely he will score here vs. Romania. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if he scored multiple goals! 

In Euro Cup qualifying, Lukaku led all players with 14 goals scored and he was averaging 4.4 shots per 90 minutes. As we saw in the opener, the chances will be here for Lukaku, It’s just a matter of him finishing. Considering the multiple painful denials against Slovakia, he’s due here. It’s hard to ignore the numbers, especially when Romania is LONG overdue to start conceding more goals (they actually conceded an average of 1.23 xG per match during qualifying). TL; DR version: It’s Lukaku’s time to shine. 2% Romelu Lukaku Anytime Goal Scorer (Play to -135)

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