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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(235605) Chile at (235606) Peru

Event:
(235605) Chile at (235606) Peru
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
June 21, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
120
Play:
3% – (235605) Chile at (235606) Peru Peru Total Under 0.5 (+120)
Result:
Win
Analysis

3% Peru Under 0.5 Goals (8:00 ET): I don’t think Peru scores a goal tonight in their opening Group A fixture against South American rival Chile. While there have been some signs of promise in recent friendlies, coinciding with a managerial change, that was against weaker competition. When we saw them score, it was mostly against teams outside the Top 80 in the FIFA World Rankings. When stepping up in class, the Peruvian attack has pretty much been non-existent. Take World Cup qualifying, for example. In six matches, they failed to score five times and mustered a total xG of just 2.5, most of that coming against a sub-par Venezuela side. 

Peru faced Chile during World Cup qualifying back in October and (wouldn’t you know?) lost 2-0, generating just 0.16 xG and four shots on goal. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar final score tonight, but would rather not worry about what the Chileans do and instead just focus on the inept attack of Peru. Of the four recent friendlies, only one was against a team that qualified for this competition (Copa America) and that was Paraguay. That ended up being ANOTHER match where Peru failed to score (match ended 0-0) as they ended up with only 0.3 xG and five shots on goal. 

Making scoring a goal an even harder proposition for Peru is the fact Chile figures to dominate possession in this match. I just love being able to get this prop at a plus price. 3% Peru Under 0.5 Goals (Play to +100)

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