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The Gold Sheet

The Gold Sheet

(963) Kansas City Royals at (964) Texas Rangers

Event:
(963) Kansas City Royals at (964) Texas Rangers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 21, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-145
Play:
2% – Texas Rangers -145 N Eovaldi (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

Nathan Eovaldi has enjoyed a resurgence in Texas at pitcher-friendly Globe Life Field. In seven starts at home this season, Eovaldi has a 2.09 ERA with a 0.93 WHIP. Removing the shortened 2020 season from the equation, Eovaldi's 26.0-percent strikeout rate this year is the highest of his career. He has not allowed more than two runs in any of those seven starts at home this season. Eovaldi enters Friday in the top-30th percentile among pitchers in expected batting average allowed, chase rate, whiff rate, strikeout rate and barrel rate. These teams played a series last month and the Rangers faced Brady Singer, but Eovaldi did not pitch. So the Rangers' bats have some recent familiarity against the Royals' starter while Kansas City does not. Texas had off on Thursday so the Rangers' bullpen is rested while the Royals travel in with no rest after losing a series to Oakland. Kansas City is 3-8 in its last 11 games. Singer has allowed 13 runs in his last three starts (15.1 innings). He enters Friday in the bottom-25th percentile among pitchers in expected ERA, expected batting average allowed, chase rate and barrel rate. His 4.68 expected ERA is nearly a run-and-a-half higher than his actual ERA (3.39). 

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