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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(917) Baltimore Orioles at (918) New York Yankees

Event:
(917) Baltimore Orioles at (918) New York Yankees
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 20, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-147
Play:
3% – New York Yankees -147 C Irvin (LHP), L Gil (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

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4:05 PM ET -- MLB 

917 Baltimore Orioles  
918 New York Yankees

Play: 918 NY YANKEES -147

List Pitchers: Irvin & Gil                

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at -155 or better 
2% play at -156 to -165

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play AGAINST teams that are not a favorite larger than -114 if it's the last game of a series that is tied, and the team lost as a favorite in their starter's previous start. 14-1 (93.3%) this season.

The Yankees are 7-0 in Luis Gil's home starts this season.

Since 4/16/2022, the Yankees are 16-1 against AL opponents when coming off a 1-run loss to a division rival.

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