close icon
popup icon
Free Picks
Discounts &
Get $15 Free
Andy Lang

Andy Lang

UFC Parlay

Event:
UFC Parlay
Sport/League:
MMA
Date/Time:
June 22, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-116
Play:
4% – Kelvin Gastelum -250 v Daniel Rodriguez + Sergei Pavlovich v Alexander Volkov Under 2.5 Round -310 (UFC) Final Price -116
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Kelvin Gastelum -250 v Daniel Rodriguez +205

I’m not a Daniel Rodriguez fan so I won’t betting on him in this fight.  I was surprised to see that he’s had 11 UFC fights, and although he’s won 8 of them, he lost his last 2, and both by finish against Ian Garry and Neil Magny.  Gastelum is coming off a loss to Sean Brady where Brady showed off his brutal takedowns and wrestling, and it’s not really a comparison to how D-Rod will fight.  Gastelum is a striker, and on the feet I like him to be faster and have the better volume, and I think this fight is a good candidate to go the distance, and I don't see where Rodriguez has an advantage.  I think Gastelum pieces him up on the feet for three rounds en route to a win.

Sergei Pavlovich v Alexander Volkov Under 2.5 Round -310 (UFC)

Pavlovich has been in 8 UFC fights, and none have gone into the 2nd round so taking under 1.5 rounds at -154 looks enticing, but we'll take the under 2.5 rounds to protect ourselves.  On the other side, Volkov’s last 4 fights haven’t gone into round 3, and 3 of the fights ended in the first round.  Pavlovich is going to look for the KO shot on the feet as he has one shot KO power, and Volkov will probably look to clinch and take him down where he will have the advantage on the ground.  On the feet or on the ground, one of these guys is getting finished early.

close popup icon