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Nick Borrman

Nick Borrman

Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC

Event:
Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC
Sport/League:
MLS
Date/Time:
June 19, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-105
Play:
3% – Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC Total UNDER 2.5 (-105)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

MLS

(209873) Orlando City SC at (209874) Charlotte FC

We didn't do so well on the last midweek card, so will take it easy this time around.  These can be hard to predict as players' schedules get all out of whack and travel time becomes crunched….

However I do like this Total.  Charlotte has bee very difficult to break down since the beginning of May.  Aside from the three goals allowed to NYRB and two to Atlanta, Charlotte has kept clean sheets in their other six most recent games (six of their last eight).  At home, they are now on a five-match clean sheet run with three wins and two draws, all of them staying Under the total.  They also have an additional two at home to make it seven of ten home matches in which they did not concede.

Overall at home they have allowed only 0.96 xGA per match, but that has dropped significantly to just 0.62 over their last five.

With just one loss at home this season, there is no reason or expectation of Charlotte changing tactics and pushing for goals.  They have become very comfortable with slower paced and cautious matches.

Meanwhile, Orlando's offense has been anemic over the last two months (nine matches).  They scored three goals against Philadelphia, but otherwise were held to one goal or less in their other eight, including being blanked four times.

TAKE UNDER 2.5 GOALS

Line Parameter: 3% to -125, 2.5% to -140

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