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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

(969) Tampa Bay Rays at (970) Minnesota Twins

Event:
(969) Tampa Bay Rays at (970) Minnesota Twins
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 19, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-153
Play:
5% – Minnesota Twins -153 T Bradley (RHP), J Ryan (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

#970 5% Minnesota w/Ryan -153 Tampa w/ Bradley

A much bigger line than most of my top plays but at -157 there is still value. 
Minnesota has been a huge favorite the previous two series as they played Colorado and Oakland but they won 5 straight and are 7-1 the L8 games and had a day off prior to the series opener. The Twins bats are rocking with 94 hits the L8 games an amazing 11.75 hits per game. The Twins are an eye-opening 24-5 as pk/fav vs teams with a losing record which is +33% ROI! Ryan has a 0.942 WHIP this season. A 0.89 WHIP at home and a 0.947 WHIP his L3 starts. Ryan has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of the L5 starts with the one game he allowed more than 2 runs was on the road at Houston as a dog. On the flipside, Bradley has pitched very well his L2 starts but both were at home. On the road, Bradley has made 2 starts (7 at home) and he has a 11.88 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Since June 8th the Rays have avg’d 6.33 hits per game and have topped 3 runs only twice. Tampa is 12-7 vs a left-handed starter but vs a righty they are 22-31 including 4-14 since May 19th and ONLY 1-10 as a small fav/dog with the avg loss 6.4 to 2.7. Tampa is 3-12 as a dog of  +106 and higher including 0-7 since May 31st with the avg loss by 4.6 runs per game. 

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